Figure of a girl stopping a tank with a background hue of Ukrainian flag colors
Image by Peace with Love from Pixabay

When Will The Russian War In Ukraine, End?

What you need to know.

David Amerland
9 min readMay 6, 2022

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I don’t really have a crystal ball that can forecast the future and neither does anyone else I know. This is not the same as saying however that the future is entirely opaque to us. Because our brain devotes a lot of resources to forecasting the future, it is only when we are able to have an idea of what will happen that we can ease our general sense of anxiety and feel more in control of our life and our fate.

Throughout this analysis I include links from credible sources and expert opinions that corroborate the details of what I present. You can, if you want, visit each one individually to further your own understanding of the details but I try to present things as fully as possible so that it’s not necessary. I have tried to keep the question of right and wrong of this war outside this examination, though given the well-documented atrocities committed by the Russian invading forces and the discovery of mass graves in the formerly occupied areas, this has been, understandably, hard to do.

“war is a continuation of politics by other means,”

To successfully predict the end of this war I will use some of the ideas of a long-dead Prussian general and strategist by the name of Carl von Clausewitz and I will strip the warring…

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